Let’s all agree that before you write an article about trading Jesus Montero for a starting pitcher, that starting pitcher needs to be better than current free agent C.J. Wilson.
For the last two years, C.J. Wilson has been better than Gio Gonzalez in almost every way. Wilson pitched more innings, kept balls in the park at a better rate and walked fewer batters. They whiffed guys at close to the same rate, but Gonzalez jumped up in 2011 to claim a slight edge. That’s in raw numbers. When you look at the home road splits, it becomes clear we are talking about two different animals. Wilson is stellar outside the harsh environs of the Ballpark in Arlington. Gonzalez is ordinary once removed from Oakland and its acres of foul territory.
The main knock against Wilson is that he has walked 167 men in the last two years. Gonzalez has issued 183 free passes in 25 fewer innings.
Gio Gonzalez is five years younger than C.J. Wilson and still under team control for several years. His explosion in strikeouts in 2011 bodes well for his future. Those are huge points in his favor, no doubt. He’s projectible and cheap and certainly may be better than C.J. Wilson in a few years when Wilson gets older and Gonzalez is in his prime. But Jesus Montero is under team control for six more years. Which sounds better, Jesus Montero for six years and C.J. Wilson for whatever it takes to sign him? Or Gio Gonzalez for four years and whatever bat they have to sign to replace Jesus Montero?
The Yankees are not making headlines during the Hot Stove season, so the writers are left to make their own heat. Hey, I’d love to see Gio Gonzalez at the back end of the staff while he tries to get those walks down and learns to pitch to Death Valley in Yankee Stadium. But not at the cost of six years of a bat like Montero’s. Not when a better version of the same pitcher can be obtained on the free agent market.
[0] Amen!
I went to MLB trade rumors earlier this morning and saw that daily news link. It made me want to shut off my computer. Maybe tomorrow I'll think like John Harper and teach like Mr. Garrison of South Park. "Today, boys and girls, we're going to learn how Jane Fonda and Michael Jackson were responsible for The Civil War."
[1] Funny, I almost went on a tirade on Monday about one of Harper's articles. Has he always been that desperate for leads and I never noticed? Awful stuff.
However, apparently Mark Buehrle to the Marlins is now fact; raising the likelihood Prince Albert stays in a can (and Miami opens a can of Prince Fielder instead)...
I don't want to trade Montero. The Yanks need pitching, but I don't want to give up Montero.
If they trade Jesus Montero for anyone other than King Felix then I'm going to become a Met fan.
Death Valley?
[5] Yeah, you know..that impossible to hit a tater out of Left-Center, 457ft away..
[6] A-Rod did it.
[5] Yeah, I guess it's now more like pin prick valley.