Via Pete Abe, new Joba Rules Revealed.
Short version: he'll make six more starts, approximately one per week, and then no limits in the post-season.
This also comes as good news to Chad Gaudin lovers!
The current PECOTA projection gives the Yankees a 99.26% chance to make the playoffs, and a 90.60% to win the Division.
Slow night. I'll have some cold soup, drink some chilled wine, watch some Red Sox, and probably turn in early to make up for the last two late nights...
[2] you scared us off from commenting on your 1st post with that last line :}
those odds for the yankees are mighty nice.
i am surprised the rangers wc odds are so low (just over 7%; sox are 69%, and rays about 13%) it is probably based on their pythag record.
the sox run diff is 86, rays 77, and rangers just 53, but i wonder how valuable using the pythag records is at this post in the season to predict won/loss and thus playoff odds?
[3] I think the lousy Texas playoff chances have a lot to do with individual player performance projections. My main reason for this is that the unadjusted odds are a whole lot better for the Rangers. The adjusted ones are specifically PECOTA-adjusted.
Jon Lester has loaded the bases without managing to get anyone out, by the way.
i'm presuming the blue jays (as well as the o's) have just about packed it in for the year. they can't be counted on to help bury the sox.
i'd really like the yanks to take 2 from the sox this weekend.
[9] I've thought about that. I really have no quantitative idea of what difference it makes. I mean, what % of hard grounders go through a drawn in infield that would go for DPs at normal depth, and what percentage of balls in play are the kind of soft grounder that would score a run with the IF at ordinary depth but not drawn in? The differences might be very small.
I'll be at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday. One more to check off the list. I probably won't see any of the action this weekend. I'm almost relieved I won't have to be frantic for 72 hours. : D
Via Pete Abe, new Joba Rules Revealed.
Short version: he'll make six more starts, approximately one per week, and then no limits in the post-season.
This also comes as good news to Chad Gaudin lovers!
Okay, maybe everyone had already seen that one.
How about this:
The current PECOTA projection gives the Yankees a 99.26% chance to make the playoffs, and a 90.60% to win the Division.
Slow night. I'll have some cold soup, drink some chilled wine, watch some Red Sox, and probably turn in early to make up for the last two late nights...
[2] you scared us off from commenting on your 1st post with that last line :}
those odds for the yankees are mighty nice.
i am surprised the rangers wc odds are so low (just over 7%; sox are 69%, and rays about 13%) it is probably based on their pythag record.
the sox run diff is 86, rays 77, and rangers just 53, but i wonder how valuable using the pythag records is at this post in the season to predict won/loss and thus playoff odds?
[3] post should be point - i must be thinking of the post season
[3] I think the lousy Texas playoff chances have a lot to do with individual player performance projections. My main reason for this is that the unadjusted odds are a whole lot better for the Rangers. The adjusted ones are specifically PECOTA-adjusted.
Jon Lester has loaded the bases without managing to get anyone out, by the way.
Ugh, Barajas GIDP (run scores on the play)...
[5] hmm interesting.
i'm presuming the blue jays (as well as the o's) have just about packed it in for the year. they can't be counted on to help bury the sox.
i'd really like the yanks to take 2 from the sox this weekend.
[7] I watch the Blue Jays often. I can't say for sure that they have "packed it in," but they sure play like they have.
I don't get why teams play the infield in early in the game, even against an ace or hot pitcher.
[9] I've thought about that. I really have no quantitative idea of what difference it makes. I mean, what % of hard grounders go through a drawn in infield that would go for DPs at normal depth, and what percentage of balls in play are the kind of soft grounder that would score a run with the IF at ordinary depth but not drawn in? The differences might be very small.
I'll be at Kauffman Stadium on Saturday. One more to check off the list. I probably won't see any of the action this weekend. I'm almost relieved I won't have to be frantic for 72 hours. : D
I haven't gotten a chance to say how great it is to have Ted back. It's better than that Wolfman trailer.
Hey, Billy Wanger's back on the mound. 2k's in an inning